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 This Article explores the Nicotine Free Generation (“NFG”) policy, an emerging endgame strategy for tobacco products that employs a completely novel legal design. Tobacco remains the leading cause of preventable death, killing almost half of its users and imposing $600 billion in social costs each year. We see two basic choices for regulating sales: prohibition or a legal age-gate, such as twenty-one, for retail sales. NFG charts a third way. Recognizing the dire harm of tobacco and the serious consequences of abrupt prohibition, NFG lays the groundwork for a gradual transition to a sales sunset. In place of the twenty-one age-gate, NFG creates a divide between those who are of age and those who are not when the law passes, using a birthdate to divide the two cohorts. For those of age when the birthdate is set, NFG leaves the existing market in place, and so it delivers no shock to the market or social practices. It focuses instead on preventing the creation of future demand by preventing sales to everyone born after the designated birth date. NFG’s gradualism is in stark contrast to prohibition’s comprehensive ban, which removed a product from people who used it.

This Article explains the imperative for state intervention on the corporate exploitation of adolescent development, recognizing that adolescent decision-making has a long tail into adulthood. The market for tobacco products exists at the juncture of addiction and adolescence. Both are essential to its continued existence, with adolescence being the spark and addiction the fuel to long-term sales revenue. NFG takes addiction seriously by exempting from the regulation’s impact those people who are currently dependent on the product. NFG has been adopted in twenty-two cities and towns in Massachusetts and introduced in five state legislatures. Two nations, the Maldives and the United Kingdom, have recently adopted a version of NFG.

This Article is the first to evaluate NFG’s legal design, explaining the way it finesses the challenges of adolescence and of addiction to provide a hopeful path and to set an example for endgame strategies in other fields. Tobacco is known to be deadly beyond compare, without countervailing usefulness, almost never initiated in developmental adulthood, and regretted by most of its users. NFG charts a new course to eliminating its harms.

 

Katharine Silbaugh *

* Professor of Law and The Honorable Frank R. Kenison Scholar in Law, Boston University. As an elected member of Brookline Massachusetts’ representative Town Meeting, I
co-sponsored the world’s first successfully implemented Nicotine Free Generation birthdate
phaseout regulation which was adopted in 2020 and went into effect in 2021. I would like to
thank Emma Ferdinandi, Abigail Gruyon, and Anna Saum for helpful research assistance,
and Sania Anwar, Jon Berrick, Julie Dahlstrom, Maxine Eichner, Anthony Ishak, Nicole
Huberfeld, Rachel Rebouché, Christopher Robertson, Clare Ryan, and Allison Tait for helpful comments on an earlier draft. All mistakes are my own.